Demand forecast updating

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Storage This Thursday, the EIA reported draw of (33) bcf.

Total storage now stands at 3,693 bcf, which is 107 bcf (or 2.82%) below 5-year average for this time of the year.

Additional disclosure: We are long natural gas futures (winter contracts) and short in natural gas cash.Based on our analytical and numerical results, some useful insights are used for managing supplier's lead time performance in order to reduce order quantity variability in a supply chain.For instance, our results suggest that in allocating scarce capacity by the supplier, higher priority should be given to those products whose demands are highly variable and correlated for maintaining consistent delivery lead times for these products.We estimate that dry gas production has been expanding in annual terms for 26 consecutive weeks now.Wellhead output remains strong – specifically, in the Gulf coast region, but also in the Eastern part of the country.

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